2026 · after the federal tax credit ended
Is solar still worth it in your state?
The 30% federal credit is gone for systems installed after 31 December 2025. What is left is the math: how much sun you get, what your utility charges and pays, and what installers charge. We run it for 25 states with official data, and you can run it for your own bill.
Calculator · 2026 data, no federal tax credit
How long would solar take to pay for itself?
Simple payback
11.4 years
- System size
- 3.2 kW
- Installed cost
- $10,659
- Savings, year one
- $936
- Net over 25 years
- $11,389
Sized to cover your yearly use at today's price. Panels lose 0.5% a year; prices held flat. Method
Payback by state
For a home with a $150 monthly bill, sized to cover its yearly use, at each state's median installed cost and export rules. Shorter bars pay back faster.
- Hawaii8.0 yrs
- Massachusetts8.6 yrs
- Connecticut10.3 yrs
- New York10.4 yrs
- California11.4 yrs
- New Jersey11.6 yrs
- Pennsylvania13.0 yrs
- Florida13.6 yrs
- Colorado13.7 yrs
- Maryland14.0 yrs
- Virginia15.0 yrs
- Minnesota17.2 yrs
- Nevada17.7 yrs
- Arizona18.3 yrs
- Washington18.6 yrs
- Oregon19.8 yrs
- South Carolina19.9 yrs
- Michigan20.0 yrs
- North Carolina21.9 yrs
- Georgia23.4 yrs
- Ohio24.9 yrs
- Illinois25.7 yrs
- Texas29.7 yrs
- Utah30.6 yrs
- Wisconsin30.9 yrs
Electricity prices: EIA Electric Power Monthly, table 5.6.B, residential average price, July 2026 YTD. Production: PVGIS 5.2 (European Commission Joint Research Centre) with NSRDB solar radiation data. Installed cost: Berkeley Lab, Distributed Solar & Storage: 2026 Data Update (median installed price, host-owned residential PV installed in 2025). How we calculate.
Guides
- Federal Solar Tax Credit Ended: What Homeowners Face in 2026
The 30% residential solar credit ended for expenditures after 2025. What the law and the IRS say, what still exists, and how it changes payback.
- Net Metering vs Net Billing: Why Export Rates Decide Solar Savings
Net metering credits solar exports at the retail rate. Net billing pays less. See how California and Arizona set export rates and how batteries change it.
- Are Solar Batteries Worth It in 2026?
When a home battery pays off with solar: net billing, time-of-use rates and outages, plus the end of the federal credit and what storage adds to the price.
- Solar Lease vs Buy: Cash, Loan, Lease and PPA Compared
How cash, loan, lease and PPA solar compare in 2026: Berkeley Lab prices, the end of the homeowner credit, and questions to ask before signing.
- How We Calculate Solar Payback: Data, Formula and Limits
The data sources, formula and assumptions behind every payback figure on Solar by State, and what the calculator leaves out on purpose.